Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and the United States Special Envoy Steve Whitkoff held indirect talks on Saturday. Their goal is to reach the deal, which ends the US economic sanctions on Iran, in response to Tehran, refusing to enriched the uranium and the experience of nuclear weapons.
“Negotiations have been held in an atmosphere of mutual respect … Both sides decided to continue the process within a few days,” wrote the Argerin X.
US President: Donald Trump first approved such negotiations At a press conference with the Prime Minister of Israel Benjamin Netanyahu April 8. He has repeatedly expressed a desire to deal, and threatened Iran with bombing, “those that they have not seen before.”
Iranians have long agreed to negotiate, but “indirectly” as an article The Washington Post: He emphasized by Argerchi on April 9. Trump and Wittoff have repeatedly described any conversation as “direct”. Both sides have negotiated with several such basic differences, but they are at the table, a scenario is expected to be taken by Trump three months later, and the large-scale Iranian campaign is expected. Why
The change has been more in Iran than in the United States.
What has changed for Iran?
Iran is at the time of the watershed.
The average Iranians are 32 years old, and the newer generations do not witness three formal events, which have been successful in the 1979 revolution, Iran-Iraq war (Ali Khamenei succeeded).
History continues under this ad
Over the past two decades, the Iranian regime has clearly cleared and neutralized the threats of mass protests (usually governed by the youth) through limited concessions and coercion. It has built a “resistance economy” in response to the “maximum pressure” policy of Trump since 2018.
Now (Khamenei’s healthy, but 85 years old), Tehran’s priority is protection of the regime and the reduction of threats (especially economic).
In August 2024, President Massoud Pesceshkyan noted that Iran needs at least 100B in foreign investment, sufficient double digits to achieve growth rate Inflation and high unemployment rates. Iranian leaders, including Araghchi, support business with the United States and are engaged in the 2015 “Boeing” for 80 commercial plane (when the earlier nuclear deal came into force).
Recently, Pezeshkyan even said that Khamenei did not oppose US subjects investing in the Iranian economy as long as they are real investors.
History continues under this ad
The economic need for sanctions has helped Iran’s reformers for the nuclear deal to the press, and conservative politicians (who are holding a majority in the Iranian parliament) are recorded negotiation efforts.
The heavy weakening of Iran’s “resistance axis” in its neighborhood (even if temporary) coincided with strong Arabic interest in improving cross-bay ties. Capitals such as Riyadh, who were raising the 2015 nuclear deal (together with Israel), are now in favor of negotiations and great economic integration.
Even Iran’s emergency allies, such as Russia, have ceased to refuse Iran after its nuclear enrichment after Turkey’s support for Ukraine.
How did Iran-Trump equation develop?
Tehran has a history of 22 years of such negotiations. Since 2003, e3 (from France, Germany, Great Britain) has been in the United States since 2013. They often occurred next to US military threats to improve the position of Washington bargaining.
History continues under this ad
After the Obama-Age transaction, Iran would have lessons that Tehran had to improve its position by enriching its transaction (what announced by 60%). Iran’s Acro has increased by the United States after the murder of the United States’s most famous general after Kassem Solimani – in January 2020.
But the need for the help of Tehran’s sanctions, which made it on the 2015 deal, was gradually growing. It was necessary to reconcile this need to prevent another possibility in advance to prevent 2018. Therefore, despite indirect negotiations in Vienna in Vienna, Iran remained unconditioned with the Bayden’s administration (without not officially not revealing).
Returning, this approach is justified inside Tehran, as it allows you to overcome fresh negotiations with victory, for which he may require a loan. Abas Araghchi’s recent article was even accused of failing in Vienna talks and confirmed that “there is a reason for the United States to have a lasting president of peace,” the victory overcoming Pankring.
What’s forward?
At their main basis, the immediate goals of Washington and Tehran are equal to Iranian nuclear disarmament and economic involvement. Iran has consistently maintained that nuclear weapons are being divinely banned (Fatwa for them with Khamenei), and that nuclear enrichment is only a response to the American aggression.
History continues under this ad
The question is whether the trump card will promote more concessions, as did it in 2017, demanding restrictions on Iranian ballistic missile ability for proxies.
Trump has a maximalist approach to making a deal, first to impose almost unacceptable conditions based on strong bargaining, and eventually as many concessions as possible. WITKOFF has confirmed that there is a compromise room. Therefore, Washington’s position cannot be entangled. Ally Israel, however, caused lobbying to all Iranian nuclear activities (which Tehran categorically refuses to reach a military approach to it.
Even because Trump said Israel would lead to anti-Iranian military operations, if negotiations failed, the United States retains the room against Iranian strategic opportunities. Iran also has the opportunity to scale its relations with Yemen’s Hutis (whose history reveals more autonomy than other Iranian groups). The draft for the transaction has been available since 2015, and Khamenei reported for the “full prestige” talks.
If the Arab states promote Iran’s position on the forthcoming visit of Trump, Netanyahu’s ability to underestimate the US-Iran talks will later become further. Also, Meanwhile, US Vice President JD Vance claims that the war with Iran is not in America’s interests, Tehran’s leaders have treated Iran for this reason (unless they are in case of military significance). It is also uncertain if the transaction is possible in the two-month Trump (initial) schedule. In 2013, US-Iran talks began in March, but the project was fully ready only in November, and only until 2015.
History continues under this ad
After all, this seemingly important detentment between Tehran and Washington will depend on other regional developments, including Israel’s war in Gaza, Syria and Lebanon.
(Bashir Ali Abbas is a senior researcher at the Board of Strategic and Defense Research, New DeliIn the case of
